Mienzaniso Nhanho neNhanho · Muenzaniso nhanho nenhanho · maminitsi 7

Muenzaniso: Kukwira kweFibonacci

Mari yakabhejwa ye1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 panhemabhetiNhemaBheti remubhadharo wakaenzana panhamba 18 nhema. ChiFrench: noir.Verengai zvese →, kudzokera nhanho mbiri mushure mekukunda. Martingale inononoka, uye masvikiro anoita mawere ayo.

Mhinduro pfupi

Sesheni yeFibonacci yakafananidzirwa yekutenderera 90 pa$5 payuniti. Madenderedzwa makumi maviri akapera ne$5 rimwe nerimwe, mutsara mumwe wakaipa kusvika pachikamu chechipfumbamwe (mari yakabhejwa $170) wakasiya sesheni iri pasi ne$340. Yakapfava kupfuura kupeta kaviri kusvikira yarega kudaro.

yuniti
$5 panhema
nhevedzo
1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34
mawere
mari yakabhejwa $170 pachikamu chechipfumbamwe
mhedzisiro
−$340 mukutenderera 90

Fambai nenhevedzano

Kurasikirwa kunofambisa nhanho imwe kurudyi. Kukunda kunodzosera nhanho mbiri shure.

11235813213455Kurasikirwa
bheti rinotevera1mhedzisiro kusvika parizvino0kutenderera0

Mari dzakabhejwa nemhedzisiro zviri mumayuniti ebheti rekutanga.

Hurongwa

Bhejai nhamba yekutanga yeFibonaccinziraFibonacciProgression inotevera nhevedzo 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: nhanho imwe kumberi mushure mekurasikirwa, nhanho mbiri kumashure mushure mekukunda.Verengai zvese →, $5. Mushure mekurasikirwa, endai nhanho imwe kurudyi munhevedzo. Mushure mekukunda, endai nhanho mbiri kuruboshwe. Denderedzwa rinopera kana tadzokera pakutanga tiri pamusoro neyunitimariYunitiMari yehwaro inoshandiswa nesisitimu kana nemutambi. Maprogression anotsanangurwa nemayuniti kuitira kuti ashande patafura ipi zvayo.Verengai zvese → imwe. Kana ichienzaniswa neMartingalenziraMartingaleProgression inopeta bheti kaviri mushure mekurasikirwa kwega kwega. Onai chikamu cheNzira kuti munzwisise zvainoita nezvaisingaite.Verengai zvese → mari yakabhejwa inokura ne×1.6 panzvimbo pe×2, saka mawere ari kure uye kudzoka kunononoka: kukunda hakupedzi denderedzwa, kunongodzokera shure.

Kutenderera 1–40

Madenderedzwa gumi nerimwe akapera, rakareba kupfuura ese richisvika pachikamu chechishanu ($25). Denderedzwa rega rega rakapera rinopa $5 chaiyo; kuverenga kunofadza uye mari dzakabhejwa dzakaramba dziri shoma. Pundutso +$55. Zvinonzwika seMartingale isina kutya.

denderedzwanhevedzomari dzakabhejwapundutso
1K5+$5
2R K K5, 5, 5 → rapera+$5
3R R K R K K5, 5, 10, 5, 5, 5+$5
4R R R K K K5, 5, 10, 15, 5, 5+$5
5–11pamusoro chikamu che5 ($25)≤ 25+$35
mushure mekutenderera 40madenderedzwa 11 akapera+$55

Kutenderera 41–70

Mamwe madenderedzwa mashanu anopera pakutenderera 60 (+$25). Ndokuzouya denderedzwa risingaperi. R R R R R R R K R R: mari dzakabhejwa 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (kurasikirwa kunomwe, −$165), kukunda pa$105 (+$105, kudzokera nhanho mbiri kusvika $40), ndokuzorasikirwa kuviri pa$40 nepa$65. Tava pachikamu chechisere, $105, denderedzwa riri pa −$165, uye kurasikirwa kunotevera kwaizotiendesa ku$170 kana zvichienzaniswa nemuganho wetafuratafuraMuganho wetafuraBheti diki nerikuru kupfuura ese anobvumirwa. Rikuru ndiro rinomisa maprogression ekupeta kaviri.Verengai zvese → we$200. Pundutso pachikamu ichi −$140.

Sesheni iyi nedzimwe pfumbamwe dzakaita sayomhedzisiro vs kutanga
+$595$0−$500+$480−$2500125250375500kutendereramhedzisiro
masesheni 1,000 × kutenderera 500 · violet p10/p25/p75/p90, bhuruu yakajeka median, masampuru 83 akachenuruka · fambisai pamusoro pechati kuti muone maquantile pakutenderera
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • median −$500
  • p75 +$390
  • p90 +$480
masesheni 1,000 × kutenderera 500 · y-axis yakachekwa kusvika papercentile ye1–99 (magumo −$500 kusvika +$700) · kutenderera 500 · $5 kutanga · mubhadharo wakaenzana
Kukwira kunononoka kupfuura Martingale, mawere akakwira uye anouya gare gare. Mitsetse inowira, inowira kure, uye inowira mukutenderera kwakawanda kwete kumwe chete.

Miganho yeTafura yeRoulette

Kutenderera 71–90

R R: $105 yozoita $170 yarasika, uye denderedzwa rava pa −$440. Mari inotevera yekubheja yaizova $275, pamusoro pemuganho, saka pakutenderera 72 tinosiya denderedzwa totangazve pa$5. Ndiwo mawere. Kutenderera gumi nesere kwasara kunopedza mamwe madenderedzwa mana. Pakupedzisira −$340; pasi pemari yekutambamariMari yekutambaMari yose yakachengeterwa kutamba. Kutonga mari yekutamba kuri kusarudza kuti mungaisa pangozi yakawanda sei pabheti rimwe nepasesheni imwe.Verengai zvese → paiva −$360.

Mari yakabhejwa inokura ne1.6 mushure mekurasikirwa kwega kwega; panhanho yechisere inotevera haichakwani pasi pemuganho.

Maakaundi

Mari yose yakabhejwa ingangoita $1,200 kana ichienzaniswa ne$450 yekubheja kwakaenzana. Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwamasvomhuKurasikirwa kunotarisirwaKukosha kunotarisirwa kwakapetwa nemari yose yakabhejwa; mari yepakati inorasika musesheni kana munguva yakati.Verengai zvese → pa$1,200 i$32; chaiko −$340 kunenge kuri imwe nehafu yestandard deviationmasvomhuStandard deviationMudzi wesikweya wemusiyano; chinhambwe chakajairwa chemhedzisiro kubva pakukosha kunotarisirwa.Verengai zvese → pasi, sesheni yakaipa, uye rudzi rwesesheni inoburitswa neFibonacci kanenge kamwe chete pashanu pakureba uku. Madenderedzwa akapera akabhadhara $5 rimwe nerimwe; denderedzwa rakaipa rakadhura makumi masere nemasere awo.

Zvinoratidzwa nesesheni

Fibonacci inoparadzira mawere eMartingale mukutenderera kwakawanda uye inoasundira kure, izvo zvinoita kuti ive yakachengeteka uye inonyengera zvakanyanya: nhevedzo yemari dzakabhejwa inoratidzika ichinzwisisika kusvika pane isina kudaro. Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa padhora rimwe nerimwe hakuchinji; mari yose yakabhejwamariMari yose yakabhejwaMari yese yakabhejwa musesheni kana munguva yakati, kusanganisira mari yakakundwa yakabhejwazve. Mamwe mazita: handle, action.Verengai zvese → yakawedzerwa nekukwira ndiko kunoenda mari.

Mibvunzo

Sei tichidzokera nhanho mbiri mushure mekukunda?

Nekuti kukunda pachikamu n kunodzosa kurasikirwa pazvikamu n−1 ne n−2, izvo zvinowedzerana kusvika pachiri. Nhevedzo yakavakirwa mutemo uyu.

Ko iyi yakachengeteka kupfuura Martingale here?

Mari yakabhejwa yepamusoro yakaderera pahuwandu hwakafanana hwekurasikirwa, saka hongu, mupfungwa yemawere anouya gare gare. Zvinotarisirwa zvakafanana chaizvo.

Ndechipi chikamu chekutanga chinopfuura muganho we$500?

Chegumi nembiri payuniti ye$5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, ndokuzoita 720.

Kuseka zvishoma

Golden ratio i1.618. Chikamu chekasino chichiri 2.70%.

Golden ratio i1.618. Chikamu chekasino chichiri 2.70%.

Zvinyorwa

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Chitsauko 13, Roulette.
yakaongororwa 2026-09-28modhi: yeEurope, zero imwemaitiro ↗zvinyorwa ↗