Kurasikirwa Kunotarisirwa
Kukosha kunotarisirwa kwakapetwa nemari yose yamunobheja: zvinodhura sesheni paavhareji.

Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa = mari yose yakabhejwa × 1/37. Bheti $10, kutenderera 100: $1,000 yakabhejwa, $27 kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa. MaProgression anobheja zvakawanda, saka anorasikirwa zvakawanda.
Mari yose yakabhejwa, kwete mari yekutamba
Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwamasvomhuKurasikirwa kunotarisirwaKukosha kunotarisirwa kwakapetwa nemari yose yakabhejwa; mari yepakati inorasika musesheni kana munguva yakati.Verengai zvese → kunoenderana nekuti mari yakawanda sei inopfuura patafura, kwete kuti makauya neyakawanda sei. Mari yekutambamariMari yekutambaMari yose yakachengeterwa kutamba. Kutonga mari yekutamba kuri kusarudza kuti mungaisa pangozi yakawanda sei pabheti rimwe nepasesheni imwe.Verengai zvese → ye$100 inobhejwazve kakawanda inogona kutakura $2,000 yemari yose yakabhejwamariMari yose yakabhejwaMari yese yakabhejwa musesheni kana munguva yakati, kusanganisira mari yakakundwa yakabhejwazve. Mamwe mazita: handle, action.Verengai zvese → ne$54 yekurasikirwa kunotarisirwa; mari yekutamba ye$10,000 inobhejwa kamwe chete patsvukubhetiTsvukuBheti remubhadharo wakaenzana panhamba 18 tsvuku. ChiFrench: rouge.Verengai zvese → inotakura $10,000 yemari yose yakabhejwa ne$270. Mari inowanikwa nekasino mutero wekupfuura, uye kupfuura ikoko chipimariChipiChiratidzo chinomiririra mari yakatarwa, chinoiswa patafura yekubhejera kuita bheti. Rimwe zita: check.Verengai zvese → chega chega pakutenderera kwega kwega.
Fomula
E[kurasikirwa] = Σ mari dzakabhejwa / 37. Kumubheji anobheja kwakaenzana i mari yakabhejwa × kutenderera / 37. KuprogressionnziraProgressionMutemo upi zvawo unochinja mari yekubheja zvichienderana nemhedzisiro yakapfuura. Maprogression anokwira mushure mekurasikirwa anoikwidza kana mukarasikirwa; maprogression anokwira mushure mekukunda anoikwidza kana mukakunda.Verengai zvese → iavhareji yemari yakabhejwa × kutenderera / 37, uye avhareji yemari yakabhejwa yakakwira kupfuura bheti rekutanga, nekuti mari dzinobhejwa dzinokwira panguva dzekurasikirwa. MartingalenziraMartingaleProgression inopeta bheti kaviri mushure mekurasikirwa kwega kwega. Onai chikamu cheNzira kuti munzwisise zvainoita nezvaisingaite.Verengai zvese → kubva pabheti rekutanga re$10 pamuganho we$500 ine avhareji inosvika $28 pakutenderera kwega kwega musesheni refu, saka inorasikirwa kunenge kakapetwa katatu kupfuura kubheja kwakaenzana kwe$10, isina kuchinja mikana yebheti ripi neripi.
Kumhanya
Matafura emhenyu anoita kutenderera 40–60 paawa, makasino chaiwo 30–50, matafura ekumhanya 90 kana kupfuura, matafura eRNG nekukurumidza kwamunobaya. Pamari imwe chete yakabhejwa, kumhanya ndicho chinhu chimwe chikuru chinochinja kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa paawa: kubva patafura inononoka yekasino kuenda patafura yeRNG inotambwa pakutenderera 200 paawa kunowedzera mutengo wemanheru kakapetwa kana pasina kuchinja kwemikana.
Mugore
Mutambi anogara achitamba maawa maviri pavhiki pa$10 patafura yemhenyu yekutenderera 50 anobheja $52,000 pagore uye anobhadhara kunenge $1,400 mukurasikirwa kunotarisirwa pavhiri reEurope, $700 pareFrance, $2,700 pareAmerica. Masvomhu acho anofinha asi mhedziso yacho haina kudaro: kusarudza vhiri netafura kwakakosha kupfuura sisitimu ipi neipi nekusingaperi, sezvo masisitimu akakosha zerovhiriZeroGomba rimwe chete rakasvibira risingafukidzwi nebheti remubhadharo wakaenzana, redozeni kana rekoramu; ndiko kunobva chikamu chekasino. Mamwe mazita: zero imwe, 0.Verengai zvese → chaiyo.
Mutambo wakakosha kupfuura bhangi ripi neripi
Mutambo weSt. Petersburg, wakabvunzwa naNicolaus Bernoulli muna 1713, unokanda mari kusvika yamhara pamusoro uye unobhadhara $2 kana zvatora kukanda kumwe, $4 kana kuviri, $8 kana kutatu, zvichipetwa kaviri nguva dzese. Kureba kwega kwega kunogoneka kunowedzera $1 kukukosha kunotarisirwamasvomhuKukosha kunotarisirwaMhedzisiro yepakati pabheti rimwe nekufamba kwenguva refu. −1/37 yemari yakabhejwa pabheti rimwe nerimwe reEurope rakajairwa.Verengai zvese →, saka pabepa mutambo wakakosha mari isingaperi. Hapana bhangi rinogona kubhadhara mibairo isingaperi, uye kana mibairo yaganhurirwa kune zvinenge zviri mubhangi, kukosha kunodonha: nebhangi re$1 miriyoni mutambo wakakosha kunenge $21, ne$1 bhiriyoni kunenge $31. Martingale mutambo mumwe chete unoonekwa kubva kune rumwe rutivi. Inokunda yunitimariYunitiMari yehwaro inoshandiswa nesisitimu kana nemutambi. Maprogression anotsanangurwa nemayuniti kuitira kuti ashande patafura ipi zvayo.Verengai zvese → imwe kunenge mudenderedzwa rega rega uye inorasikirwa nezvese pamutsara murefu usingawanzoitiki; pasina muganho mitsara mirefu yaizobhadharwa nekukunda kwakakura nguva dzese, uye kana uripo hazvidaro, ndosaka muganho wetafuratafuraMuganho wetafuraBheti diki nerikuru kupfuura ese anobvumirwa. Rikuru ndiro rinomisa maprogression ekupeta kaviri.Verengai zvese → uchisarudza kuti Martingale inotadza sei asi kwete kuti inotadza here.

Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa hakusi mhedzisiro
Sesheni ipi neipi ichasiyana nekurasikirwa kwayo kunotarisirwa, kazhinji nezvinopfuura kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa pachako. Mukutenderera 100 kwemubhadharo wakaenzana pa$10 standard deviationmasvomhuStandard deviationMudzi wesikweya wemusiyano; chinhambwe chakajairwa chemhedzisiro kubva pakukosha kunotarisirwa.Verengai zvese → i$100 kana ichienzaniswa ne −$27 inotarisirwa; sesheni yekukunda haishamisi. Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa ndiwo mutengo; musiyanomasvomhuMusiyanoChiyero chekuti mhedzisiro yakapararira zvakadii kutenderedza kukosha kunotarisirwa. Wakakwirira pastraight up, wakaderera pamabheti emubhadharo wakaenzana.Verengai zvese → ndiwo kuputirwa; mhedzisiro pahusiku humwe sampuru yeimwe chete.
Fomula
Mibvunzo
Kwete. 2.70% yezvese zvamunobheja. Kubhejazve zvamakakunda kunozvibhejazve.
Paawa, hongu, pakumhanya kumwe chete. Pachinangwa chimwe nechimwe chasvikwa, kwete: onai njodzi yekupera marimasvomhuNjodzi yekupera mariMukana wekurasikirwa nemari yese yekutamba musati masvika pachinangwa kana pahuwandu hwekutenderera.Verengai zvese →.
Makasino anofungidzira kurasikirwa kwenyu kunotarisirwa kubva paavhareji yebheti nenguva yakatambwa uye anodzosa chikamu chazvo semacomp. Vari kudzosa chikamu chemutengo, kwete kukupai mukana.
Kuseka zvishoma

Mari yose yakabhejwa × 1/37. Wachi iri mufomula.
Zvinyorwa
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.
- Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, 2nd ed.