Mibvunzo · Mutambo · maminitsi 8

Mutikitivha weKutsauka kweVhiri

Rekodhi yekutenderera 3,000 kubva pavhiri ringave richitsauka kana kusatsauka. Shandisai zvishandiso zveLab kuti muwane chikamu chinopisa, kana kuti muzivise kuti vhiri rakaenzana.

Mhinduro pfupi

Mavhiri mashanu, mitongo mishanu. Pane heat map, bar chart ine bhendi re±2σ nebvunzo yechi-squareongororoBvunzo yechi-squareBvunzo yenhamba inoenzanisa kuwira kwakaonekwa pagomba rimwe nerimwe neiyo inotarisirwa n/37. Inoshandiswa kutonga kana vhiri richitsauka.Verengai zvese →; kuongorora zvikamu kunowanikwa sechiratidzo asi kunodya mamaki rimwe. Rimwe remavhiri rakaenzana.

mavhiri
5
kutenderera pavhiri rimwe nerimwe
3,000
mamaki epamusoro
10
mavhiri akaenzana
1

Vhiri 1 pa5 · kutenderera 3,000

dzvanyai gomba kuti muripomere
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326
kutenderera3,000
zvinotarisirwa pagomba81.1 · σ 8.9
gomba rinopisa zvikuru26 · kubuda 155 · 8.3σ
chi-square · p197.6 · < 0.001
E0makomba muhurongwa hwevhiri kubva pa0 · kubuda

Mamaki

9–10: Jagger angadai akada kuti imi muone vhiri.

6–8: munogona kuverenga heat map uye kuramba mhedzisiro yenhema.

3–5: makawana kutsauka kwakasimba; kutsauka kudiki nevhiri rakaenzana ndiyo bvunzo.

Pasi pe3: verengai Maonero eKutsauka kweVhiri reRoulette neSaizi yeSampuru. Kutenderera zviuru zvitatu kunongokwana kutsauka kwakasimba uye hakukwani kutsauka kudiki.

Zvinozviomesa

Pavhiri rakaenzana rine kutenderera 3,000, huwandu hunotarisirwa pagombamidziyoGombaImwe yemakamuri 37 ane nhamba parotor. Mamwe mazita: slot, cup.Verengai zvese → rimwe nerimwe i81 uye standard deviationmasvomhuStandard deviationMudzi wesikweya wemusiyano; chinhambwe chakajairwa chemhedzisiro kubva pakukosha kunotarisirwa.Verengai zvese → inenge 9, saka makomba mashoma achava kunze kwebhendi re±2σ nemhanza chete. Gomba rinotsauka ne+40% rinogara panenge pa113, inenge 3.5σ; pa+20% rinenge pa97, pasi pe2σ, uye harionekwe kana muchiongorora gomba rimwe chete. Zvikamu zvevhirivhiriChikamu chevhiriRutivi rwemakomba akatevedzana pavhiri, rwakasiyana neboka riri patafura yekubhejera.Verengai zvese → zvinowedzerana: kuongorora makomba 5 ndiko kwakawanisa vatambi vekutsauka mavhiri chaiwo, nekuti makomba akavakidzana anogovana chikanganiso chemuchina chimwe chete.

Mibvunzo

Sei rimwe vhiri rakaenzana?

Nekuti unyanzvi hwakaoma kupfuura hwese mukutamba nekutsauka hausi kuwana chikamu chinopisa; kusawana chisipo.

Kutenderera kungani kungadiwa chaizvo?

Zviuru zvekutsauka kwakasimba; makumi ezviuru zvekutsauka kudiki. Mhuri yaJagger yakaona mavhiri kwemavhiki.

Kuseka zvishoma

Wanai chikamu chevhiri. Kana kuti bvumai kuti hachipo.

Wanai chikamu chevhiri. Kana kuti bvumai kuti hachipo.

Zvinyorwa

  1. Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel. Lyle Stuart, 1983.
  2. Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…” Philosophical Magazine 50(302), 1900.
yakaongororwa 2026-09-28modhi: yeEurope, zero imwemaitiro ↗zvinyorwa ↗