Kureba kweSesheni neMutengo
Kuti mari yekutamba inogara kwenguva yakareba sei pamari yakabhejwa yakapihwa, uye kuti maawa anodhura zvakadii. Nhamba dzisingamboverengwi nevatambi vazhinji asi dzinofanira kuverengwa nevazhinji.
Kubheja kwakaenzana pamubhadharo wakaenzana kunogara, paavhareji, kutenderera 37 pamari yakabhejwa yega yega iri mumari yekutamba, kunyange hafu yemasesheni ese ichipera nekukurumidza kupfuura ipapo; mutengo unotarisirwa paawa imari yakabhejwa × kutenderera paawa / 37. Pamwe chete zvinokubvumirai kuisa mutengo pamanheru asati atanga.
Kuti mari yekutamba inogara kwenguva yakareba sei
Nemari yekutambamariMari yekutambaMari yose yakachengeterwa kutamba. Kutonga mari yekutamba kuri kusarudza kuti mungaisa pangozi yakawanda sei pabheti rimwe nepasesheni imwe.Verengai zvese → B nemari yakabhejwa yakaenzana pamubhadharo wakaenzana s, mari yekutamba inoderera ne s/37 pakutenderera paavhareji uye inozununguka neinenge s pakutenderera kumativi ese. Kuderera uku koga ndiko kunotara avhareji: mari yekutamba inogara kutenderera 37 × B/s, nekuti ndiyo nguva inotora kurasikirwa ne B pa s/37 pakutenderera. Kuzununguka kunoita kuti kureba kusaenzana. Mamwe masesheni anofa nekukurumidza pamutsara wakaipa, mashoma anogara nguva refu zvikuru, uye median, kureba kusingasvikwi nehafu yemasesheni ese, iri pasi peavhareji. Mari yekutamba ye$500 pa$10 (B/s = 50) inogara kutenderera 1,850 paavhareji uye 1,364 pamedian, anenge maawa 27 patafura yemhenyu. Pa$50 (B/s = 10) median ikutenderera 136, pasi pemaawa matatu.
Zvinodhura maawa
Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwamasvomhuKurasikirwa kunotarisirwaKukosha kunotarisirwa kwakapetwa nemari yose yakabhejwa; mari yepakati inorasika musesheni kana munguva yakati.Verengai zvese → paawa = mari yakabhejwa × kutenderera paawa / 37. Nhamba mbiri dzamunotonga imari yakabhejwa nekumhanya. Mubheji we$10 pakutenderera 50 paawa anobhadhara $13.51 paawa patafura yeEurope, $6.76 patafura yeFrance, $27 patafura inomhanya. Sarudzai kuti awa yeRoulette yakakosha zvakadii kwamuri, uye mari yakabhejwa inotevera.
Kuzvibatanidza
Mutambi ane $500 anoda manheru emaawa mana patafura yemhenyu inotenderera ka50 (kutenderera 200) uye asingadi kupera mari anofanira kubheja kwete kupfuura anenge $25 (B/s = 20, median yekupera mari kutenderera 394). Mutengo unotarisirwa wemanheru i200 × $25 / 37 = $135. Kana $135 yakawandisa, mari yakabhejwa inoderera uye manheru anova akachengeteka uye akachipa pamwe chete: pa$10, mutengo unotarisirwa $54 uye kupera mari kusati kwasvika kutenderera 200 hakuwanzoitiki.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- median −$500
- p75 −$50
- p90 +$350
Masesheni estraight up
Pastraight upsbhetiStraight upNhamba imwe chete, rinobhadhara 35:1.Verengai zvese → mari yakabhejwa inofanira kuva shoma pakureba kwesesheni kwakafanana: σ payunitimariYunitiMari yehwaro inoshandiswa nesisitimu kana nemutambi. Maprogression anotsanangurwa nemayuniti kuitira kuti ashande patafura ipi zvayo.Verengai zvese → i5.84 pane inenge 1 patsvukubhetiTsvukuBheti remubhadharo wakaenzana panhamba 18 tsvuku. ChiFrench: rouge.Verengai zvese →, saka mari yekutamba inofanira kufukidza nguva refu dzisina kubata. Median yekutenderera 200 inoda B/s inenge 13 patsvuku uye inenge 56 panhamba imwe, zvinenge kana kana mari dzakabhejwa dzakawanda. Mari yekutamba ye$500 inogara kutenderera 200 kwestraight ups pamedian inoda mari yakabhejwa iri pedyo ne$9. Vatambi vanobheja straight ups dze$25 kubva pa$500 vari kutenga manheru mapfupi ane ruzha: kukundikana makumi maviri kwakatevedzana kunoapedza, uye izvozvo zvinoitika kakawanda kupfuura kusaitika.
Rondedzero yemitengo yechokwadi
Roulette inodhura mari yakabhejwa × kutenderera / 37. Zvimwe zvese, sisitimu, nhamba yerombo, kuzvidzivirira, zvinosarudza chimiro chemanheru kwete mutengo wawo. Mutambi anotanga kuverenga mutengo osarudza mari yakabhejwa yaanofara kubhadhara aita chikamu chimwe chete chenzira chinoshanda.
Fomula
Mibvunzo
Kwete yakanyatsojeka. Pamari yekutamba shoma kuzununguka kunotonga uye median inokura zvinenge se(B/s)², sepamari yesimbi yakaenzana. Pamari yakawanda chikamu chekasino chinotonga uye median inoswedera kuavhareji, 37 × B/s. Pamari dzinenge 20 dzakabhejwa mutemo we(B/s)² unoitika kuenderana nemedian chaiyo, kutenderera 394; pasi ipapo unopfupika uye pamusoro unorebesa.
Unoganhurira mamiriro akaipisisa uye unopfupisa sesheni, izvo zvinoderedza kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa zvakaenzana nekutenderera kusina kutambwa.
Inoita hafu mutengo paawa pamabheti emubhadharo wakaenzanabhetiBheti remubhadharo wakaenzanaTsvuku/nhema, isina kuenzana/yakaenzana, dzepamusoro/dzepasi. Nhamba 18, rinobhadhara 1:1.Verengai zvese → uye inopeta kaviri avhareji yenguva yekupera mari, kusvika kutenderera 74 × B/s.
Kutamba neMasvomhu
Edzai izvi imi pachenyu pekutanga. Mhinduro yega yega yakapetwa; ivhurei kana magadzirira.
Munobheja $500 patsvukubhetiTsvukuBheti remubhadharo wakaenzana panhamba 18 tsvuku. ChiFrench: rouge.Verengai zvese →, $10 panguva, pavhiri reEurope, pasina mutemo wekumira. Paavhareji, mari yekutambamariMari yekutambaMari yose yakachengeterwa kutamba. Kutonga mari yekutamba kuri kusarudza kuti mungaisa pangozi yakawanda sei pabheti rimwe nepasesheni imwe.Verengai zvese → inogara kwekutenderera kwakawanda sei?
Ratidza mhinduro
Mhinduro Kutenderera 1,850: kutenderera 37 pamari yakabhejwa imwe neimwe pa50.
Kutenderera kumwe nekumwe kunodhura, paavhareji, 1/37 yemari yakabhejwa: $10/37, anenge masendi 27. Mari yekutamba ine mari dzakabhejwa 50, uye kurasikirwa nadzo 50 pa1/37 yemari yakabhejwa pakutenderera kunotora 50 × 37 = kutenderera 1,850.
Kukwira nekudzika hakuchinji avhareji iyi, nekuti sesheni inogona kupera chete pazero uye kutenderera kwese kusati kwasvika ikoko kunodhura masendi 27 mamwe chete paavhareji. Kunochinja kupararira: hafu yemasesheni ese inenge yapera pakutenderera 1,364, uye anenge imwe pamakumi maviri inopfuura 5,000, izvo zvinokwidza avhareji.
Epstein (2013) anopa mutemo wese: kurwisa kasino isingamboperi mari, mari yekutamba ine mari dzakabhejwa z inogara z yakakamurwa nechikamu chekasino pakutenderera. Pavhiri reAmerica, uko mubhadharo wakaenzana unorasikirwa ne1/19 yemari yakabhejwa pakutenderera, $500 imwe chete inogara kutenderera 950 paavhareji.
Kuseka zvishoma
Mari yakabhejwa × kutenderera / 37. Isai mutengo pamanheru asati atanga.
Zvinyorwa
- Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.