Nzira yeAndrucci paRoulette
Tarisai vhiri kwechinguva, tsvagai nhamba yabuda kakawanda, mobva mabheja pairi. Zvinonzwika sekutsvaga vhiri rinotsauka; nhamba dzinoti hazvisizvo.
Vhiri rega rega rinoratidza nhamba “inopisa” mushure mekutenderera 37, richitsauka kana kwete: nhamba yabuda zvakanyanya inowanzove yabuda katatu kana kana nemhaka yemukana chete. Kuibheja straight up pakutenderera 37 kunotevera kunodhura 2.70% yechipimariChipiChiratidzo chinomiririra mari yakatarwa, chinoiswa patafura yekubhejera kuita bheti. Rimwe zita: check.Verengai zvese → chega chega, sedzimwe nhamba dzese, uye kunyange pavhiri rinotsauka zvechokwadi kutarisa kwekutenderera 37 kunowana gomba rinotsauka kamwe chete pamakumi maviri.
Sisitimu yeAndrucci inotambwa sei?
Nyorai mhedzisiro yega yega pakutenderera 30 kusvika ku37, muchibheja zvishoma pamikana yemubhadharo wakaenzana panguva iyoyo kana kusabheja zvachose. Sarudzai nhamba yabuda kakawanda. Mobva mabheja yunitimariYunitiMari yehwaro inoshandiswa nesisitimu kana nemutambi. Maprogression anotsanangurwa nemayuniti kuitira kuti ashande patafura ipi zvayo.Verengai zvese → imwe straight upbhetiStraight upNhamba imwe chete, rinobhadhara 35:1.Verengai zvese → pairi pakutenderera kwakaenzana nekwekutanga. Dzimwe shanduro dzinotevera nhamba inopisanganoNhamba inopisaNhamba yabuda kakawanda kupfuura zvaitarisirwa munguva pfupi yapfuura. Pavhiri rakarurama haifanotauri chinhu.Verengai zvese → mbiri kana nhatu, uye dzimwe dzinochinjira kunhamba ipi neipi iri kutungamira pakuverenga mutambo uchienderera. Zita racho harina nhoroondo yakavimbika: mazano anoritaura kumutambi weLas Vegas wemuma1970, kunyanzvi yezvenhamba yekuItaly kana kusapa munhu zvachose, uye hapana kana rimwe rinopa sosi.
Sei vhiri rega rega riine nhamba inopisa?
Pakutenderera 37 kwevhiri risingatsauki nhamba yega yega inobuda kamwe paavhareji, asi kutenderera hakugovanwi zvakaenzana. Nhamba yabuda zvakanyanya yakabuda katatu chaiko mu47% yemitsara yakadaro, kana chaiko mu40%, uye kashanu kana kupfuura mu11%. Kuverenga kwekana kana kupfuura pakutenderera 37 kunoratidzika sepatani, uye mukana woga unoburitsa imwe chete manheru ese ari maviri.
Chikamu chekubheja chinobhadhara marii?
Kana kutarisa kwapera, sisitimu i-straight up inotambwa ka37. Nhamba yakasarudzwa inokunda nemukana we1/37 pakutenderera kwega kwega, sezvinoita nhamba dzese. Inorasikirwa pakutenderera kwese 37 mu36.3% yemasesheni, zvichipa −37 mayuniti; inobuda kamwe mu37.3%, zvichipa −1; uye inobuda kaviri kana kupfuura mu26.4%, zvichipa +35 mayuniti kana kupfuura. Paavhareji sesheni inorasikirwa neyuniti 1 pa37 dzega dzega dzakabhejwa: 2.70%.
Ko kana vhiri richitsauka zvechokwadi?
Vatambi vanotsvaga vhiri rinotsaukaongororoVhiri rinotsaukaVhiri rine zvikanganiso zvemuviri zvinoita kuti mamwe makomba ave nemukana unopfuura 1/37. Hazviwanzoitika, uye zvinoonekwa chete nekutenderera kwezviuru kwakanyorwa.Verengai zvese → vanotsvagawo nhamba inobuda kakawanda zvakanyanya, asi vanoverenga kutenderera kwezviuru, kwete 37. Ngatiti gombamidziyoGombaImwe yemakamuri 37 ane nhamba parotor. Mamwe mazita: slot, cup.Verengai zvese → rimwe rinobuda kamwe pakutenderera 30 pane kamwe pa37: kutsauka kukuru, kunokosha +20% kune ani nani anoribheja. Kutarisa kwekutenderera 37 kunosarudza gomba iroro serabuda zvakanyanya zvingangoita 4.7% yenguva chete, kuchienzaniswa ne2.7% yekungofembera, nekuti kukunda kwaro kushoma kwekuwedzera kunorasika mumheremhere. Paavhareji yezvose zvinosarudzwa nekutarisa, Andrucci pavhiri iroro inoramba ichirasikirwa zvingangoita 2.2% yemari yayo yakabhejwa. Kuwana kutsauka kwakakura kudaro zvakavimbika kunoda kutenderera kwezviuru zvakati wandei.
Sei ichikwezva?
Inokwereta mutauro wekutsvaga kutsauka chaiko, uye dzimwe nguva wechaos theory, uye inopa mutambi chekuita vhiri richitenderera. Chakanaka chayo chimwe chete imari yakabhejwa isingachinji: haibheji zvakawanda kupfuura mumwe mutambi we-straight up, saka hairasikirwi nekukurumidza kupfuura iye.
Mibvunzo
Kwete. Pavhiri risingatsauki nhamba inopisa inhamba senhamba ipi neipi, uye chipi chega chega pairi chinodhura 2.70%.
Pamutengo, hongu. Kudzingirira nhamba inopisa nekumirira inotonhora “yava nguva yayo” i-straight up imwe chete pamutengo mumwe chete.
Zviuru. Onai Maonero eKutsauka kweVhiri reRoulette uye Saizi yeSampuru.
Kutamba neMasvomhu
Edzai izvi imi pachenyu pekutanga. Mhinduro yega yega yakapetwa; ivhurei kana magadzirira.
Mushure mekutenderera 37 bhuku renyu rinoratidza kuti 23 yabuda kashanu. Izvozvo hazvina kujairika zvakadii pa23 chaiyo? Uye hazvina kujairika zvakadii kuti nhamba yakabuda zvakanyanya mukutenderera 37 ikoko ive neshanu kana kupfuura?
Ratidza mhinduro
Mhinduro Pa23 yakadomwa pamberi, kubuda kushanu kana kupfuura mukutenderera 37 kunoitika kamwe chete pamitsara inenge 327. Panhamba ipi neipi inozobuda zvakanyanya, anenge mutsara mumwe pamapfumbamwe. Mubvunzo wechipiri ndiwo unopindurwa nebhuku chaizvo.
Panhamba imwe yakadomwa, kubuda mukutenderera 37 kunotevera binomial distribution nemukana we1/37 pakutenderera. Mukana wekubuda 0, 1, 2, 3 ne4 unosvika 99.69%, saka shanu kana kupfuura i0.31%, anenge 1 pa327.
Asi hapana akadoma 23 kutenderera kusati kwaitwa; yakasarudzwa nekuti ndiyo yakabuda zvakanyanya. Nenhamba 37 dzichikwikwidzana, imwe yadzo kusvika pashanu kune mukana mukuru zvikuru: anenge 11% yemitsara yekutenderera 37, nesimulation yedu (onai tafura iri pamusoro).
Saka kuverenga kweshanu kunoshamisa panhamba yamakasarudza pamberi uye kwakajairika kune inotungamira kuverenga. Kubheja inotungamira mushure maizvozvo istraight upbhetiStraight upNhamba imwe chete, rinobhadhara 35:1.Verengai zvese → seimwe ipi neipi, pa2.70%.
Kuseka zvishoma
Vhiri rega rega rine nhamba inopisa. Ndizvo zvinoita mukana chaiwo.
Zvinyorwa
- RouletteDoc. Tsananguro yenzira nemienzaniso.
- Roulette77. Tsananguro yenzira nemienzaniso.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.