Tafura yeMikana neOdds dzeRoulette
Bheti rega rega rakajairika nemukana waro, mubhadharo, kukosha kunotarisirwamasvomhuKukosha kunotarisirwaMhedzisiro yepakati pabheti rimwe nekufamba kwenguva refu. −1/37 yemari yakabhejwa pabheti rimwe nerimwe reEurope rakajairwa.Verengai zvese → ne standard deviation.
Mabheti ese ane kukosha kunotarisirwa kwakafanana, −2.70% yemari yakabhejwa. Anosiyana pamukana nekupararira chete.
Maverengero echati yemikana yeRoulette
MukanamasvomhuMukanaMukana wemhedzisiro, kubva pa0 kusvika pa1 kana 0% kusvika 100%. Nhamba imwe: 1/37 = 2.70%.Verengai zvese → unokuudzai kuti munokunda kangani; mubhadharomariMubhadharoZvinodzoserwa nebheti rakunda, zvinotaurwa se“X kusvika ku1” pamusoro pemari yakabhejwa inodzoserwa.Verengai zvese →, unotaurwa semikana yeRoulette, unokuudzai kuti zvakawanda sei; σ inokuudzai kuti rwendo rune mabhundu zvakadii. Koramu yeEV yakafanana pamutsara wega wega nekugadzirwa kwayo, saka tafura iyi chaizvo imenyu yemisiyanomasvomhuMusiyanoChiyero chekuti mhedzisiro yakapararira zvakadii kutenderedza kukosha kunotarisirwa. Wakakwirira pastraight up, wakaderera pamabheti emubhadharo wakaenzana.Verengai zvese → pamutengo wakatarwa.
Mabheti anodaidzwa
Mabheti echikamu chevhirivhiriChikamu chevhiriRutivi rwemakomba akatevedzana pavhiri, rwakasiyana neboka riri patafura yekubhejera.Verengai zvese → musanganiswa wemabheti akajairika uye anogara nhaka chikamu chekasino chawo. Rimwe nerimwe rine chimiro charo chemubhadharo nekuti machipimariChipiChiratidzo chinomiririra mari yakatarwa, chinoiswa patafura yekubhejera kuita bheti. Rimwe zita: check.Verengai zvese → haana kuiswa zvakaenzana.
Pakutenderera kwakati wandei
Mikana yekubata kamwe chete zvishoma mukutenderera k, pamibvunzo mishoma yakajairika.
Kupararira kwemasesheni
Standard deviationmasvomhuStandard deviationMudzi wesikweya wemusiyano; chinhambwe chakajairwa chemhedzisiro kubva pakukosha kunotarisirwa.Verengai zvese → yesesheni yekutenderera 100 pa$10 yakaenzana, nebheti, nemhedzisiro inotarisirwa yakafanana iri −$27.
Mibvunzo
Nekuti mubhadharo wega wega i36/n − 1 pane 37/n − 1 yakaenzana. Onai peji rechikamu chekasinomasvomhuChikamu chekasinoChikamu chemari yega yega yakabhejwa chinochengetwa nekasino paavhareji: 2.70% muRoulette yeEurope.Verengai zvese →.
Mabheti emubhadharo wakaenzanabhetiBheti remubhadharo wakaenzanaTsvuku/nhema, isina kuenzana/yakaenzana, dzepamusoro/dzepasi. Nhamba 18, rinobhadhara 1:1.Verengai zvese → patafura yeFrance: p nemubhadharo hazvichinji, EV −1.35%, σ ≈ 0.99.
Govanisai ne38 pane 37 uye koramu yeEV inova −5.26% pamutsara wega wega, −7.89% pabheti renhamba shanu.
Kuseka zvishoma
Mabheti mapfumbamwe, kukosha kunotarisirwa kumwe, hapana ndangariro.
Zvinyorwa
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.