Nzira yeLabouchère paRoulette
Nzira yeLabouchère paRoulette inoshanda kubva pamutsara wenhamba. Bhejai huwandu hwemigumo. Dzimai migumo mushure mekukunda, wedzerai bheti rakarasikirwa mushure mekurasikirwa.
Haikundi vhiri. Kupedza mutsara kunokunda huwandu hwawo. Mutsara unokura panguva dzekurasikirwa, uye mari yakabhejwa pamwe chete nawo. Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa: 2.70% yemari yose yakabhejwa.
Fambai nesisitimu
Mari yakabhejwa inhamba yekutanga pamwe neyekupedzisira. Kukunda kunodzicheka dzese. Kurasikirwa kunonyora mari yakabhejwa kumagumo.
Mari dzakabhejwa nemhedzisiro zviri mumayuniti ebheti rekutanga.
Mashandiro anoita sisitimu yeLabouchère paRoulette pabepa
Sarudzai kuti munoda kukunda zvakadii, semuenzaniso mayunitimariYunitiMari yehwaro inoshandiswa nesisitimu kana nemutambi. Maprogression anotsanangurwa nemayuniti kuitira kuti ashande patafura ipi zvayo.Verengai zvese → 10, mozvinyora semutsara wenhamba dzinosvika ipapo kana dzaunganidzwa: 1 2 3 4. Bheti rimwe nerimwe inhamba yekutanga pamwe neyekupedzisira: 1 + 4 = 5. Mukakunda, dzimai migumo yose miviri; mutsara zvino ndi2 3. Mukarasikirwa, nyorai mari yakabhejwa kumagumo: 1 2 3 4 5. Rambai muchienderera kusvikira mutsara wava usina chinhu, zvinoreva kuti makunda mayuniti 10, kana kusvikira musisagoni kubhadhara bheti rinotevera. Inoshanda senhongonya yezvekuita umo basa rimwe nerimwe rapera rinobvisa zvinhu zviviri uye basa rimwe nerimwe rakundikana rinowedzera rakakura pasi.
Sei mutsara uchiwanzopera?
Kukunda kwega kwega kunobvisa nhamba mbiri; kurasikirwa kwega kwega kunowedzera imwe. Mutsara unopfupika chero bedzi kukunda kuchiwanda kupfuura hafu yekurasikirwa, izvo pamabheti emubhadharo wakaenzana (48.6%) zvinowanzoitika. Mitsara mizhinji inopera. Ndiko kukwezva uye ndiwo musungo: masesheni ayo mutsara usingapere ndeayo kurasikirwa kwapfuura kukunda kaviri kwechimwe chete kwechinguva, uye panguva iyoyo nhamba dziri pamutsara, nemari yakabhejwa, dzakura.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- median −$500
- p75 −$500
- p90 +$1,570
Sisitimu yeLabouchère inoshanda here?
Kwete. Mitsara mizhinji inopera, uye iyo isingapere inodhura kupfuura zvakakundwa neyakapera. Kutanga kubva pa1 2 3 4, mutsara wekurasikirwa kusere unounza mutsara 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 nebheti rinotevera remayuniti 13, mayuniti 68 atorasikirwa. Pa$10 payuniti iro ibheti re$130 uye $680 pasi. Kurasikirwa kusere kwakateverana pamabheti emubhadharo wakaenzana kune mukanamasvomhuMukanaMukana wemhedzisiro, kubva pa0 kusvika pa1 kana 0% kusvika 100%. Nhamba imwe: 1/37 = 2.70%.Verengai zvese → (19/37)⁸ ≈ 0.5% kubva panzvimbo ipi neipi yekutanga, uye sesheni yekutenderera 200 inopa nzvimbo zhinji dzekutanga. Kusiyana neMartingalenziraMartingaleProgression inopeta bheti kaviri mushure mekurasikirwa kwega kwega. Onai chikamu cheNzira kuti munzwisise zvainoita nezvaisingaite.Verengai zvese →, kukunda kumwe chete hakuzvigadzirise; munoda kuti mutsara upere, izvo zvinoda kukunda kwakawanda kupfuura kurasikirwa.
Mutsara mupfupi unoda mari yakadii kumashure kwawo?
Mutsara mupfupi wakajairika, 1 2 3, unokunda mayuniti 6. Takasimulata mitsara yakadaro mamiriyoni maviri patsvukubhetiTsvukuBheti remubhadharo wakaenzana panhamba 18 tsvuku. ChiFrench: rouge.Verengai zvese → pavhiri reEurope pasina muganho wetafura uye takanyora mari yakanyanya yakambodiwa nemutsara mumwe nemumwe: kurasikirwa kusvika ipapo pamwe nebheti rinotevera. Hafu yemitsara haina kumbobvira yada kupfuura mayuniti 9. Mumwe pagumi wakada kupfuura 79 uye mumwe pamakumi mashanu kupfuura 490, uye kuti apedze mitsara 99 pa100 mutambi anoda anenge mayuniti 1,050 kumashure kwechinangwa chemayuniti 6. Kunyangwe pasina zerovhiriZeroGomba rimwe chete rakasvibira risingafukidzwi nebheti remubhadharo wakaenzana, redozeni kana rekoramu; ndiko kunobva chikamu chekasino. Mamwe mazita: zero imwe, 0.Verengai zvese →, mumutambo wakaruramamasvomhuMutambo wakaenzanaMutambo usina divi rine mukana: bheti rimwe nerimwe rine kukosha kunotarisirwa kwe zero.Verengai zvese →, zvingada anenge 700. Nemari shoma kumashure kwawo mutsara dzimwe nguva unorasikirwa, uye mutsara mumwe wakarasikirwa unodhura kupfuura zvakakundwa nemitsara mizhinji yakapera.
Pane dzimwe mhando here?
Reverse LabouchèrenziraLabouchèreSisitimu yekudzima: nyorai mutsetse wenhamba, bhejai huwandu hwemigumo miviri, idzimei mushure mekukunda, wedzerai mari yarasika mushure mekurasikirwa.Verengai zvese → inowedzera mushure mekukunda uye inodzima mushure mekurasikirwa, ichiishandura kuva progressionnziraProgressionMutemo upi zvawo unochinja mari yekubheja zvichienderana nemhedzisiro yakapfuura. Maprogression anokwira mushure mekurasikirwa anoikwidza kana mukarasikirwa; maprogression anokwira mushure mekukunda anoikwidza kana mukakunda.Verengai zvese → yakanaka ine kumira kwakavakirwamo. Kupatsanura mutsara murefu kuita mipfupi miviri (“1 2 3 4 5 6” kuita “1 2 3” na“4 5 6”) kunoderedza mari yakabhejwa uye kunopeta kaviri huwandu hwemitsara inofanira kupera. Kutanga nenhamba imwe chete ikubheja kwakaenzananziraKubheja kwakaenzanaKubheja mari imwe chete pakutenderera kwega kwega. Chiyero chinoenzaniswa nacho progression yega yega.Verengai zvese → kune chinangwa chete.
Reverse Labouchère yakakunda kasino kuNice here?
Mumhando yakapindurwa kukunda kunowedzera mari yakabhejwa kumagumo emutsara uye kurasikirwa kunodzima migumo yose miviri. Mutsara unopera wadhura huwandu hwawo, mayuniti 10 pa1 2 3 4; mutsara unoramba uchikunda unokurisa mabheti awo kusvikira rinotevera ropfuura muganho wetafura, ipapo mutambi anochengeta purofiti otanga patsva. ILabouchère yakapindurwa mukati kunze: mitsara mizhinji midiki inorasikirwa uye kukunda kukuru kusingawanzoitika. Bhuku raNorman Leigh rinonzi Thirteen Against the Bank (1976) rinotaura kuti chikwata chake chakaishandisa sei pamikana yose mitanhatu yakaenzana kuNice muna 1966, uye kurondedzerwa kwakazotevera kunoti masesheni 96 pa100 ekudzidzira akakunda (Goldman, 2007). Izvozvo zvakapesana. Musimulation yedu masesheni mazhinji anorasikirwa uye mashoma anokunda zvakanyanya, uye kana muganho wakakwira, kukunda kunowedzera kushomeka nekukura. Mutengo ndiwo 1.35% imwe chete yemari yose yakabhejwamariMari yose yakabhejwaMari yese yakabhejwa musesheni kana munguva yakati, kusanganisira mari yakakundwa yakabhejwazve. Mamwe mazita: handle, action.Verengai zvese → nela partagemutemoLa partageMutemo wechiFrench: kana zero yabuda, hafu yemari yakabhejwa pabheti remubhadharo wakaenzana inodzoserwa. Inoita hafu chikamu chekasino pamabheti iwayo kusvika pa1.35%.Verengai zvese → zvisinei nemuganho.
Vatambi veRoulette Vane MukurumbiraMutemo weLa Partage weRoulette
Labouchère aiva ani?
Henry Labouchère (1831–1912), mutori wenhau, muridzi wedhizaini yemitambo uye MP weLiberal, akaita kuti sisitimu iyi izivikanwe muvanhu vepamusoro veLondon uye zvinonzi akaishandisa kuMonte Carlo. Nzira yekudzima yakavapo pamberi pake. Hazvina kumbobvira zvaratidzwa kuti inochinja kurasikirwa kunotarisirwamasvomhuKurasikirwa kunotarisirwaKukosha kunotarisirwa kwakapetwa nemari yose yakabhejwa; mari yepakati inorasika musesheni kana munguva yakati.Verengai zvese →, uko kuri huwandu hwemari yakabhejwa yakagovaniswa ne37.
Simulator · Labouchère
Masesheni 2,000 emabheti emubhadharo wakaenzana kubva pamari yekutamba ye$1,000.
Bheti rekutanga $10 · muganho wetafura $500 · kutenderera 100 pasesheni
Mutsara wekurasikirwa unouya kangani
Bheti remubhadharo wakaenzana pavhiri rezero imwe rinorasikirwa kutenderera 19 pa37. Mutsara wega wega mukana wekuti kutenderera kwakatevedzana kwakapihwa kwese kurasikirwe, uye zvakarasikirwa nemutambi weLabouchère, anotanga nemutsara 1 2 3 4 onyora mari yakabhejwa yega yega yakarasikirwa kumagumo awo, panguva iyoyo.
| kurasikirwa zvakatevedzana | mukana | kanenge 1 pa | zvarasika kusvika pari zvino | bheti rinotevera |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $5 | $6 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $11 | $7 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $18 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $26 | $9 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $35 | $10 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $45 | $11 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $56 | $12 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $68 | $13 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $81 | $14 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $95 | $15 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $110 | $16 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $126 | $17 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $143 | $18 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $161 | $19 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $180 | $20 |
Mukana i19/37 wakawanzwa nawo pachawo kamwe pakurasikirwa kwega kwega, kuverengwa kubva pakutenderera kumwe kwakapihwa. Sesheni refu ine kutenderera kwakawanda panogona kutanga mutsara wakadai, saka mumanheru ose zvinogoneka zvikuru kupfuura zvinoratidzwa nemutsara mumwe.
Mibvunzo
Mari yakabhejwa inokura zvishoma nezvishoma, saka mawere haawanzoitika uye kukwira kwakareba. Kurasikirwa kunotarisirwa payuniti yakabhejwa kwakafanana chaizvo.
Mupfupi une nhamba diki. Unoderedza mari yakabhejwa nenguva yekupera; hauchinje chikamu chekasino.
Hongu. Mhedzisiro yenyu ingori huwandu kusvika panguva iyoyo.
Kutamba neMasvomhu
Edzai izvi imi pachenyu pekutanga. Mhinduro yega yega yakapetwa; ivhurei kana magadzirira.
Tangai LabouchèrenziraLabouchèreSisitimu yekudzima: nyorai mutsetse wenhamba, bhejai huwandu hwemigumo miviri, idzimei mushure mekukunda, wedzerai mari yarasika mushure mekurasikirwa.Verengai zvese → yakajairwa ne1 2 3 4 5, chinangwa che15, morasikirwa mabheti mana ekutanga. Mutsara wava wakadii, muri pasi nemari yakadii, uye bheti rinotevera nderei?
Ratidza mhinduro
Mhinduro Mutsara wava 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9, muri pasi nemayunitimariYunitiMari yehwaro inoshandiswa nesisitimu kana nemutambi. Maprogression anotsanangurwa nemayuniti kuitira kuti ashande patafura ipi zvayo.Verengai zvese → 30, uye bheti rinotevera i10.
Mabheti ndi1 + 5 = 6, wozoita 1 + 6 = 7, 1 + 7 = 8 ne1 + 8 = 9. Kurasikirwa kwega kwega kunonyorwa kumagumo emutsara. Zvakarasikirwa kusvika parizvino: 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 = 30.
Mutsara zvino une sumu ye45: chinangwa che15 pamwe ne30 yakarasikirwa. Kuuchenesa kuchiri kukunda 15 chaiyo. Kukunda kwega kwega kunodzima nhamba mbiri, saka zvinoda kanenge kukunda kumwe kushanu, kuchitanga nebheti remayuniti 10, uye kurasikirwa kwega kwega munzira kunorebesa mutsara zvakare.
“Guaranteed Roulette System” yaBartschelly inotanga ne1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2, chinangwa che15. Mushure mekurasikirwa hainyori mari yakarasikirwa kumagumo: inoiwedzera yuniti imwe panguva panhamba dzekupedzisira dzemutsara. Rasikirwai mabheti matatu. Mutsara wava wakadii, muri pasi nemari yakadii, uye bheti rinotevera nderei?
Ratidza mhinduro
Mhinduro Mutsara wava 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5, muri pasi nemayuniti 12, uye bheti rinotevera i6, chaizvo seLabouchère yakajairwa.
Bheti rekutanga: 1 + 2 = 3. Rinorasikirwa, uye yuniti 1 inoiswa panhamba imwe neimwe pane nhatu dzekupedzisira: 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3.
Bheti rechipiri: 1 + 3 = 4. Rinorasikirwa: 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4.
Bheti rechitatu: 1 + 4 = 5. Rinorasikirwa: 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5. Zvakarasikirwa: 3 + 4 + 5 = 12, uye mutsara une sumu ye27.
Labouchère yakajairwa kubva pakutanga kumwe chete yaizova nemutsara 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5, une sumu ye27 zvakare, nebheti rinotevera rimwe chete re6. Mutsara unoramba uine nhamba gumi, izvo zvinoratidzika sezvinonyaradza, asi mari dzekubheja dzinokwira zvakangofanana.
Munotamba Labouchère nemutsara 1 2 3 4. Kusvika parizvino marasikirwa mabheti 12 uye mutsara hausati wadzimwa wose. Unoda kukunda kangani pamwe chete? Ko dai makarasikirwa 13?
Ratidza mhinduro
Mhinduro Kukunda 8 nekurasikirwa 12, kukunda 9 ne13. Chero zvazvingava, mutsara unopera uri pamusoro nemayuniti 10, kunyange makakunda pasi pehafu yemabheti enyu.
Verengai nhamba dziri pamutsara. Unotanga ne4. Kurasikirwa kwega kwega kunonyora imwe zvakare; kukunda kwega kwega kunodzima mbiri, kana yekupedzisira kana imwe chete yasara. Mushure mekukunda W nekurasikirwa L, 4 + L − 2W dzinosara, saka mutsara unopera pangosvika 2W kanenge 4 + L.
Kurasikirwa 12: 2W inofanira kusvika 16, saka kukunda 8, mabheti 20 pamwe chete. Kurasikirwa 13: 2W inofanira kusvika 17, saka kukunda 9, mabheti 22.
Kurongwa kwekukunda nekurasikirwa hakuchinji panoperera mutsara, uye mutsara wapera unogara uchibhadhara sumu yemutsara wekutanga, pano mayuniti 10. Ndosaka sisitimu ichiita seinoshanda kunyange muchirasikirwa kakawanda kupfuura kukunda. Chinochinjwa nekurongwa ukuru hwemari dzekubheja munzira: mutsara murefu wekurasikirwa unogona kudzisundira kupfuura mari yenyu yekutambamariMari yekutambaMari yose yakachengeterwa kutamba. Kutonga mari yekutamba kuri kusarudza kuti mungaisa pangozi yakawanda sei pabheti rimwe nepasesheni imwe.Verengai zvese → kana muganho wetafuratafuraMuganho wetafuraBheti diki nerikuru kupfuura ese anobvumirwa. Rikuru ndiro rinomisa maprogression ekupeta kaviri.Verengai zvese → kukunda kusati kwasvika (Epstein, 2013).
Kuseka zvishoma
Mutsara unopera kazhinji. Kazhinji hakusi kese.
Zvinyorwa
- RouletteDoc. Tsananguro yenzira nemienzaniso.
- Roulette77. Tsananguro yenzira nemienzaniso.
- Roulette77. Reverse Labouchere description.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.
- Wykes, A. The Complete Illustrated Guide to Gambling.
- Leigh, N. Thirteen Against the Bank.
- Goldman, N. Great Gambling Scams.