Ngano · Ngano · maminitsi 6

Ngano: Nhamba Dzinofanira Kubuda

“Gumi nenomwe haina kubuda mukutenderera 150. Yava kufanira kubuda.” Hazvina kudaro.

Mhinduro pfupi

Nhamba isina kubuda kwenguva refu ine mukana wakaenzana chaizvo pakutenderera kunotevera nedzimwe dzese: 1/37. Kutenda kuti “yava kufanira kubuda” kukanganisa kwemubheji kwakasungirirwa bhodhi remhedzisiro.

p(17 inotevera)
1/37, nguva dzese
p(hapana 17 mukutenderera 150)
1.7%
kuti zvinoitika kangani kumwe kunhu
nguva dzese
mutongo
ngano

Zvinotaurwa

Makasino anoratidza mhedzisiro 20 kusvika 500 yekupedzisira uye anowanzomaka nhamba “dzinotonhora” dzisina kubuda kwechinguva. Vatambi vanoverenga bhodhi, voona kuti 17 haina kubuda mukutenderera 150, voibheja nekuti inofanira kunge yava kufanira kubuda. Kufunga kwacho ndekwekuti munguva refu nhamba yega yega inobuda 1/37 yenguva, saka nhamba iri shure inofanira kubata.

Sei zvisiri izvo

Kutenderera kwakazvimirira. BhoramidziyoBhoraBhora diki rinokandwa mumugero richienda rimwe divi nerotor. Mabhora emazuva ano ndeeivorine kana Teflon, 18–21 mm.Verengai zvese → harizivi kuti 17 haina kubuda, uye gombamidziyoGombaImwe yemakamuri 37 ane nhamba parotor. Mamwe mazita: slot, cup.Verengai zvese → rakaenzana nezvaraiva. Chiyero chenguva refu chinoswedera nekudzikiswa, kwete nekugadziriswa: mushure mekumwe kutenderera 10,000 musiyano wekutenderera 150 chikanganiso chidiki chekupatsanura, kwete nekuti 17 yakabuda kakawanda asi nekuti sampuru yakakura. Mutemo wenhamba hurumasvomhuMutemo wenhamba huruAvhareji yemhedzisiro yakazvimirira inoswedera kukukosha kunotarisirwa sezvo huwandu hwekuedza huchikura.Verengai zvese → haudi kuti nhamba ipi neipi ibate; unongoda kuti kuzungunuka kwekare kuve kudiki kana kuchienzaniswa nehuwandu hwese.

Kuti nhamba imwe inorega kubuda kangani kwekutenderera kunosvika k%
kutenderera 37
36.3%
kutenderera 74
13.2%
kutenderera 100
6.5%
kutenderera 150
1.7%
kutenderera 200
0.4%
%
018.1536.3%
(36/37)ᵏ. Nenhamba 37 pavhiri rese mukasino yega yega, kusabuda kwekutenderera 150 kuri kuitika kumwe kunhu izvozvi.

Sei zvichinzwika zvakarurama

Nekuti mune zvimwe zvese zveupenyu, kusavapo kunofanotaura kusvika: bhazi risina kuuya kwemaminitsi makumi maviri rine mukana wakakura wekuuya mumaminitsi mashanu anotevera. Izvo zvinokonzerwa nekuti mabhazi ane nguva dzakarongwa. Roulette haina nguva dzakarongwa; ine mukanamasvomhuMukanaMukana wemhedzisiro, kubva pa0 kusvika pa1 kana 0% kusvika 100%. Nhamba imwe: 1/37 = 2.70%.Verengai zvese →, uye mukana hausi mugove. Pfungwa iyi yakanaka pazvinhu zvizhinji zvepasi asi haina kururama pavhiri.

Bvunzo

Nyorai nhamba zana “dzinotonhora” kubva pamabhodhi emhedzisiro mobheja imwe neimwe kwekutenderera 37 kunotevera. Chiyero chekubuda chichava 1/37 pakutenderera kwega kwega, zvakafanana nenhamba ipi neipi yakasarudzwa zvisina hurongwa, kuwedzera kana kubvisa ruzha. Bhodhi remhedzisiro itsananguro yezvakapfuura. Harina chinofanotaura pavhiri rakarurama, uye pavhiri rinotsaukaongororoVhiri rinotsaukaVhiri rine zvikanganiso zvemuviri zvinoita kuti mamwe makomba ave nemukana unopfuura 1/37. Hazviwanzoitika, uye zvinoonekwa chete nekutenderera kwezviuru kwakanyorwa.Verengai zvese → (izvo zvaizoda zviuru zvekutenderera kuti zvisimbiswe) nhamba dzinopisanganoNhamba inopisaNhamba yabuda kakawanda kupfuura zvaitarisirwa munguva pfupi yapfuura. Pavhiri rakarurama haifanotauri chinhu.Verengai zvese →, kwete dzinotonhora, ndidzo dzingabhejwa.

Saizi yeSampuruMhedzisiro yeRoulette: Kuverenga Bhodhi

Ngano yakapindurudzwa

“Gumi nenomwe inopisa, ibhejei” chikanganiso chimwe chete chine chiratidzo chakapindurudzwa. Zvitendero zvese zviri zviviri zvine kukosha kunotarisirwamasvomhuKukosha kunotarisirwaMhedzisiro yepakati pabheti rimwe nekufamba kwenguva refu. −1/37 yemari yakabhejwa pabheti rimwe nerimwe reEurope rakajairwa.Verengai zvese → kwakafanana nekuvhara maziso nekunongedza: −2.70% yemari yakabhejwa. MuMutambo weDemo, tambai nhoroondo moverenga kuti nhamba inotonhoranganoNhamba inotonhoraNhamba isati yabuda kwekutenderera kwakawanda. Haipi ruzivo rupi zvarwo pamusoro pekutenderera kunouya pavhiri rakarurama.Verengai zvese → inobuda kangani mukutenderera 37 kunotevera; mhinduro inenge 63.7%, chaizvo sepanhamba ipi neipi.

Mibvunzo

Ko kasino inoratidza nhamba dzinotonhora kuti inyengedze vatambi here?

Inodziratidza nekuti vatambi vanokumbira. Bhodhi rakarurama uye harina basa.

Ko nhamba isina kubuda mukutenderera 500?

(36/37)⁵⁰⁰ ≈ 0.0001%: kashoma, uye ichiri 1/37 pakutenderera kunotevera. Kana zvikaramba zvichiitika pavhiri rimwe, uyo mubvunzo wekutsauka, uye mhinduro yaizova yekunzvenga nhamba iyoyo.

Ko pane nhamba inombofanira kubuda here?

Kwete.

Kuseka zvishoma

Mukana hausi mugove.

Mukana hausi mugove.

Zvinyorwa

  1. Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, 3rd ed., 1968. Gambler’s ruin, chitsauko XIV.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Chitsauko 13, Roulette.
Masvomhu eRouletteKukanganisa kweMubhejiMasvomhu eRouletteKutenderera kweRoulette KwakazvimiriraMasvomhu eRouletteKuswedera kweNguva Refu: Mutemo weNhamba Huru muRouletteMibvunzoOnai KukanganisaNzira dzeKubheja paRouletteNzira yeAndrucci paRoulette
yakaongororwa 2026-09-28modhi: yeEurope, zero imwemaitiro ↗zvinyorwa ↗